With a lackluster summer rally running out of steam and Macro indicators turning negative this month, the market players are out in force to get a real rally underway. Scenes like this are usually a piece of a big change,…Continue Reading →
We like to track the Macro comparison charts of stock ETF indexes for the XLY (Discretionary) and XRT (Retail) to see if the economy is being led by hard sales (XRT) or soft sales (XLY). You will see in the…Continue Reading →
Stock market investing tends to be tied to either a buy and hold approach or a timing approach. We operate with a timing paradigm based on a combination of technical algorithms and fundamental economics. If one goes back three years…Continue Reading →
It is ironic that the media views the Greek and China events as sideshows to the greater economic environment. We view current market volatility as part of a bigger picture. The move towards deflation which was triggered in 2009 has…Continue Reading →
Some try to portray the Greek situation as about people who don’t pay their debts. That is part of the story. However, the Greek “No Vote” may be more than that. It may be the leading edge of a rejection…Continue Reading →
Today we will refer back to the front page of our website and the topic shown there that was posted at the end of the First Quarter 2015: A LOOK AT MARKET BEHAVIOR PATTERNS The two charts listed there refer…Continue Reading →
Yesterday we talked about the confirmation of a turn down in the long term Macro Waves of the S&P and Dow Jones Indexes. This may take quite some time to unfold as the short-term waves are still holding on to…Continue Reading →
Before we talk about Macro Signals, first we probably should mention The Mad Money CNBC Man, Cramer. Markets like this bring out the worst in him. If you watched him in late 1999 and early 2000, read his book “Getting…Continue Reading →
The Macro warning signals in the stock market and the economy that have been recognized over the past couple of years appear to be close to triggering. I continue of the opinion that the FED will not be the cause…Continue Reading →
In order to have bubbles you need moisture and air. This market has plenty of air, view the on-balance volume indicators, rallys on little volume. We are witnessing the end of artificial economics and by extension artificial markets. In essence…Continue Reading →