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Complexion is Improving, But…
I keep saying, the RUT / NDQ ratio tells the story. 0.1050 on a close will be a big deal. We have seen 0.1039 in the past day, sitting at 0.1029 at the moment, 11:00 AM CDT. For reasons I…Continue Reading →
Keep it Simple…
On July 15, 1970, my first day as a cattle trader on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, my mentor said to me, keep it simple, the market only has three choices, up, down, or sideways, so anytime you feel overwhelmed, back…Continue Reading →
The Markets are Calling Trump and Bessent out…
Monday’s overnight markets in bonds, gold, dollar, and stocks, are saying enough is enough. Crazy game over. Donald Trump increased his attacks on Jerome Powell. Basically, he’s saying that if the current situation is painful for everyone, it’s the Fed’s…Continue Reading →
Compression Day…Mid-day update…
10:40 AM CDT: A couple of comments as the market is kind of exhibiting a bit of mini panic, not like last week, but there is an element of the scary monster syndrome going on. The facts are, of the…Continue Reading →
Strategy Time…
This is a week to patiently settle in, maybe add to positions, but keep the power for the breakout. The lows were made on April 7, now we are seeing another retest, a little like what we saw last week….Continue Reading →
Living in a Manipulated Market…
Even though the three main indexes held at critical levels yesterday, one has to keep in mind that market moves in this environment are a cross between bullish hopes and bearish fundamentals and function based on Trump’s intuition and threats….Continue Reading →
Opportunity Day ??…
The theme we have been seeing, where deficit thinking is driving the upward move of the markets is being tested today. The April7 low remains as a marker, we have seen a good bounce. Depending on the market the RSI…Continue Reading →
More from John Mauldin…
I am adding another weekly letter from John as to me he does a really good job of telling the whole story. We will continue during the week to focus on factors that allow one to react to these inputs….Continue Reading →
End of Week Comment…
It would appear that our posts of Wednesday and Thursday are kind of on target. The market is embracing deficit/inflation induced price hikes on pretty much everything including stocks. For myself, I don’t really buy that tariffs are inflationary in…Continue Reading →
Concept of the Day…
This today from Peter Schiff, one of the smarter people on X, maybe because he is almost as old as me. For decades we as Americans have lived beyond our means by consuming far more than we produce. To make…Continue Reading →
Forget Deficit Reduction …
Everyone learned a lot yesterday. Things are following the theme we made yesterday morning before the opening. Trump’s goal to reduce the deficit has been thrown under the bus. Manipulation out of Washington is out in front of everything. Tariffs…Continue Reading →
Markets are Embracing Inflation and Higher Deficits…
Here is what one has to ponder in todays market environment: First, everyone is on their own at this juncture, there are no safe choices. The market did reach a Macro Value area last Friday. The tariffs are going to…Continue Reading →
A Time to Tread Water…
Speculative short-term garbage buying is dominating action today. The market is back to its old ways prior to Feb 23. The model points to treading water at the moment with positions that have at least a six-month life span.
Time to Put Away Panic and take up Analysis…
Last Friday our Climate Tech Model pointed to the fact that based on what everyone knows at this point, the markets have declined into an oversold value zone. What is important now is the actual impact of the tariffs and…Continue Reading →
Saturday Morning Musing, Part 3…
Shay Boloor MY OPEN LETTER TO PRESIDENT TRUMP The frustrating part is that I was on board for a reset. Truly. I’ve said it publicly. I’ve written about it in this very feed. I understood the need for a detox….Continue Reading →
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