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Peak Earnings vs. Trough Inflation

The deeper picture is unfolding today, the yield curve is flipping, the working interest rate, the 10 year yield, is pushing to go parabolic to the upside. All the funny money crowd are buying stocks right into peak earnings, they…Continue Reading →

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Make or Break time for the Micro Traders

This is an important week coming up. Last Friday and today we see the Funny Money based micro traders making an attempt to make and hold new highs in the stock indexes. Their buying is totally short term based around…Continue Reading →

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The Big Canary Speaks

Today looks like an extraordinary Hammer II. The S&P daily high price took out the high for September 23rd by three point 4471 vs 4468. More importantly the “The Big Canary”, interest rate adjusted FANG stocks, have now at 9:30…Continue Reading →

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Lots of Bounce

Ten years of Funny Money, starting with Bernanke’s FED QE2 in October 2011, provide lots of bounce activity to the markets but do not negate what is evolving. Today we are seeing kind of a test of some solid moving…Continue Reading →

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The Bubble Timeline

For the markets, the next couple of weeks will be the most instrumental of the year. As forces line up for this decisive time, the direction, up or down from here for stocks is in focus. And, a big Chaos…Continue Reading →

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Rally is Here

After many attempts during the week

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Split Decision

An early weekly view. The market technicals point to the fact that the market has topped, market traders however point to their view that nothing has changed and we are headed to new highs again. That should mean that we…Continue Reading →

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Next Step, Wait for the Panic

So far the market is ignoring the danger. We may cover half of our short position for a bounce trade if we see panic, that would require an RSI of 18.00 or less, the low today is 36.00.

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9/23/21, Things Changed

Please go back and view our post from that day. That was the day that the economic stimulus story changed. Effects caught up with the hype. This would appear to be the end of what really started in 1980 with…Continue Reading →

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In My View The Bubble Breakdown has Happened

It started with the interest rate factor on September 23 when the S&P was at 4450 and Nasdaq 100 was at 15294. Today based on the Dollar move I feel we got confirmation on the close. What does that mean…Continue Reading →

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Filling in the Blanks plus afternoon update

Today is a good bounce day, it adds one more day to the moving averages, which will make it probable that the next down move will decisively burst the Asset bubble. Today’s up-move in the dollar will add to that…Continue Reading →

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The Bubble is Still Intact

While the S&P 500 at the moment at 4370 (at 9:25 AM CDT) is down some 175 points from the all time highs, the fact remains that the Bubble is still intact by my reckoning. While the early indications (SPX…Continue Reading →

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Market Analysis 101

As we wait for the other shoe to drop, you may want to go back and take a look at our September 7 blog, “There is no Worry”. These are my views distilled since 1966, over 55 years. Forecast Market…Continue Reading →

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What Could go Wrong ?

For a bit of Saturday morning reading please take a look at the Home page listing for “What Could go Wrong? by John Mauldin. It outlines a number of items pertinent to the market at this point. A little backstop…Continue Reading →

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It Appears We Got Confirmation of the Bubble Bust Yesterday

At 10:17 AM CDT yesterday our FANG / 10year interest rate chart rolled over and then on the close dropped to 4.18. This morning at 10:08 CDT we are seeing a value of 4.10. Here is the chart from the…Continue Reading →

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