Yesterday we entered what I term in our Climate Tech Model as “Crash Protection Mode” which has five different levels, C-0 through C-4. We are now in C-0, warnings are being triggered but no definitive crash triggers yet a C-1…Continue Reading →

Here is what we said yesterday. Our Climate Tech Model remains fully triggered for the upside. The internal numbers are solid versus the July 29 to 8/3 pivot point, but one cannot be complacent in this environment. Todays action changes…Continue Reading →

The coordinated attack on the markets that I mentioned yesterday has the markings of ending today. That again is the Bond Vigilante and Gold bug shorting of bonds and buying gold at the same time. It made no sense then…Continue Reading →

Of his own making essentially, but surely due to his relationship with Netenyahu. The fact is millions of Iranians are willing to die to save their country, I doubt that we have millions of Americans willing to die for a…Continue Reading →

Stock price overvaluations seem to be on everyone’s radar these days. All the Guru’s that have amassed huge fortunes over the past 40 years are now in a quandary as the guideposts tell them to get out of the market,…Continue Reading →

Four things to ponder after his speech this morning: 1. We all want 2 % inflation. 2. We are seeing a stock market that is not driven by interest rates. 3. A declining yield curve has the Bond Guru’s in…Continue Reading →

I have taken the time to review what I posted on June 15th, “Understanding Warsh” which can be seen from our front-page listing. I have found the rereading to be enlightening. That posting was based around using AI to analyze…Continue Reading →

Third time may get the job done. The 82.96 upside trigger level on the Bond ETF TLT was hit again today. All of the smart people saying manipulation of the yield curve is intellectually a bad thing are correct. And…Continue Reading →

I will start today’s comments with this overview by Market Screener this morning. It seemed to cover the highpoints well, my thoughts on those comments follows. The final week of August will test three of the market’s strongest convictions: that…Continue Reading →

Solar panel prices have fallen 90 percent since 2010, making solar the cheapest form of energy on Earth. Early German subsidies and Chinese manufacturing scale-up set off a cost spiral that still drives 80 percent of the global solar supply…Continue Reading →

Looking at the 5 year interest rate, to me a good middle of the road measure, a bit away from FED influence, rates started up in March and echo the Iran conflict. If the administration wants rates to soften, the…Continue Reading →

I have been pointing out that the Bond Bears have been mounting a massive short position since July 8th when the TLT contract moved down through 84.88. That means the TLT median position point during this position buildup has seen…Continue Reading →

The Bond bears have pushed my TLT trade into the Hedge category. This is ok, it will be a positive when the Tech/AI crash comes in 2027. In the meantime our model continues with its Tech/AI/Green focus.I will say that…Continue Reading →

What we are entering is an event that can be best called the “Poverty Games”. They will probably last up into the election. These games will illustrate how manipulated government debt based markets can push asset prices to unbelievable levels…Continue Reading →

I think the markets are fortunate to have Warsh as Fed Chair. His willingness to allow market players to dig holes rather than leading them down a path will be a major positive for markets. The fact that Jeffrey Gundlach…Continue Reading →