I am still putting together our ideas and projections for 2011 which should come out mid-month. In the meantime lets take a look at the markets from a micro viewpoint. As we mentioned on Tuesday, the markets are working against…Continue Reading →
The market rollover that started earlier this month is gaining traction. The computer models which usually come in late as a confirmation are starting that confirmation process Recap of the 18 ETF Computer Model signals: Long : MOO,QQQQ,SPY,SMH,XLY,SHY,UUP Neutral : XLF,USO,DBA,IEV,IEF,TLT…Continue Reading →
Over the past thirty years two markets have evolved, the consumer market and the financial market. Somehow the FED has decided that it can play games with both through monetary input. The current Financial Market game, QE2, is an example…Continue Reading →
Until the events of yesterday and today I held hope that the current portion of the 17.6 year long cycle (2000 to 2017) had seen its stock market low in 2009. That is no longer the case. As an investor…Continue Reading →
Our indicators on the SPY ETF turned down today, this is for a short-term program that trades every 35 days on average. The Gold / Dollar relationship still shows no resolution to the bigger macro picture that continues to unfold. …Continue Reading →
The next bull market in stocks will not be based on the rising oil and weak dollar that prevailed yesterday. Phantom demand and its attendant measurement, phantom value, are a function of Hedge Funds and funny money looking for holes…Continue Reading →
Here is an update of the returns for our Aggressive and Conservative Portfolios as well as the S&P 500 market for the period of June 2002 to date based on our performance on the Marketocracy Fund site and the positions…Continue Reading →
This pre-holiday, end of quarter week will be need to be watched for breakouts of the current trading range on the S&P, of 1070 to 1105. The strongest direction will probably be towards lower volatility and flat momentum as everyone…Continue Reading →
That means stocks have not bottomed and are probably not close. What I have said recently still holds. When gold falters, stocks will bottom. The S&P overnight has backed off to its pivot point and this week we will see better…Continue Reading →
One big relationship that we are following in this whole first cycle up since March 2009 is the Dollar / Gold. This stock and commodity sell-off, what CNBC apparently is calling the “Flash Sell-off” has been characterized by a flight…Continue Reading →