I keep being asked how the macro algo could be pointing to seismic change. I guess my answer is simple. As much as one doesn’t want to bring politics into the market equation, I do think that with the Biden/Harris…Continue Reading →
This is good early action for a 2 to 3 year market cycle. It will take some back and forth volatility to put in place the wringing out of the excesses created by Bernanke, Yellen, and Trump. Powell is kind…Continue Reading →
Markets have a short memory, the last 5 days don’t necessarily validate the past five months action. Early Sell Signal As of the opening today we have a tentative Macro Sell signal on the opening. The question today has been,…Continue Reading →
As we sit here today and observe the markets making a new high and await the start of the Macro Re-Adjustment that is on track to start tomorrow, it is easy to second guess a long term view. You would…Continue Reading →
I don’t like to be a Conspiracy believer, but we all know that the President uses his Bully Pulpit and his cohorts to manipulate and back up his premise that the stock market, not the economy will determine the 2020…Continue Reading →
It would appear that the longs in the market are waiting for the stimulus, it has to happen, it is an election year. But, looking Deeper Something is happening at the core. Our Fed Influence chart is picking up on…Continue Reading →
See our tweet from today.
A Few days here of convulsions of disbelief, much like February 19 to March 4 scenario. Before the trap door opened.
We keep an internal measure of how much we believe the FED is in control of the economy. This measure includes inputs from hard assets, paper assets, debt factors, commodities, and precious metals. Prior to today we have used this…Continue Reading →
As we have highlighted, last Thursday will be looked back at over time as the end of a 40 year era that started in 1980. It started out as Supply Side Trickle Down economics, moved into Greenspan excessive turbulence, then…Continue Reading →