One has to keep in the back of your mind that Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh has explicitly linked Quantitative Tightening (QT) to a broader strategy for addressing supply side inflation, framing it as part of a “pragmatic monetarism” approach. It…Continue Reading →
Climate Model has a bit in Solar and Hydrogen and batteries, everything else is gone or hedged.
In a way I feel like the last 39 years have been training for the coming period. In 1987 I was trading in Chicago when the crash occurred. Fortunately, our early technical trading system got us out of the market…Continue Reading →
A few days ago our Climate Change Model ,which gets its name because a minimum one third of its portfolio is in climate related stocks, flashed a Hedge signal. For our internal use this signal has four levels, C-0 to…Continue Reading →
No Change in Model Hedge Positioning as we approach the close on September 8th, still working basis a C-1 signal. The model did however, increase the long side of the ledger by adding to solar positions.
This piece is by: Ben Kizemchuk Senior Investment Advisor and Portfolio Manager at Wellington-Altus. Tweets are not investment advice. What I think he is saying is what I happen to believe and have spoken to at points, and that is…Continue Reading →
Expanding on all this it is interesting to see where investors are placing their money since the August 3rd Inflection Point. The obvious and logical areas are commodities, especially agricultural, commodity ETF’s like BCI. The CRB index does a good…Continue Reading →
We are in the early period of a hedge signal, while the signal remains intact, it is being tested, this will either set the hook for a significant hedge return or for a failed hedge, for the moment the signal…Continue Reading →
Yesterday we entered what I term in our Climate Tech Model as “Crash Protection Mode” which has five different levels, C-0 through C-4. We are now in C-0, warnings are being triggered but no definitive crash triggers yet a C-1…Continue Reading →
Here is what we said yesterday. Our Climate Tech Model remains fully triggered for the upside. The internal numbers are solid versus the July 29 to 8/3 pivot point, but one cannot be complacent in this environment. Todays action changes…Continue Reading →