Here is the sector table updated through last Friday. Note the sectors listed as Biotech, Solar, EV, and Chips make up 80 % of our portfolio. Looking back to when the bottom of the market started on May 11, 2022…Continue Reading →
I am having a little fun this afternoon. I went to the trading screen and ran some numbers show relationships between 2-year interest rates and each of the main three indices, S&P 500, 30 year bonds, and CRB commodity prices….Continue Reading →
Ending Easy Money and moving Fed Funds rate to 3.0-3.25 is a big plus 1. Economic and Production Stability enhancement should be the number one FED objective, on this score they get a minus 3. This score is based on…Continue Reading →
A little update this morning where in spite of all the FED encouraged carnage, the comparison of market value between today and 6-6-22 when inflation and commodities peaked is revelatory. See sectors ranked below. More good real news today, both…Continue Reading →
With the huge cross currents evolving we are posting tomorrows blog tonight. I am no stranger in getting on a theme early, well before the 50, 100, 200 day trend lines confirm. In this phase I am concentrating on how…Continue Reading →
The numbers and charts say that it was the end of something, not the beginning. Let’s look at the footprints. The FED made a big mistake by not ending easy money in August 2020. They compounded the mistake by adding…Continue Reading →
We have taken a look at what has transpired in the markets since the start of the Bubble on August 7. 2020. The analysis looks at sectors and how they performed percentage wise during various time frames created by both…Continue Reading →
Everyone is waiting for tomorrow. Powell may find that valuing stability over chaos will help him to bury his past mistakes. Like, saying 3.5 % is where we plan to keep rates for the next two years, put to rest…Continue Reading →
It would appear that the Bubble Creators may not have been that smart. They were financed by the FED, and propelled by a financialization process based around globalization and monetization. Real growth never entered the picture. Now they have no…Continue Reading →
You may recall that a couple of weeks ago we pointed out that the first thing to watch out for will be the 2yr vs 3 mo yield curve, I.e. when the 2yr starts gaining on the 3 mo, that…Continue Reading →