Clean-up Mode
Today is what I would call the clean-up phase of the bubble bursting yesterday, probably a lot of pieces of rubber lying around. Pressure on bonds completed the test of levels set on 9/4/19, kind of the base for the…Continue Reading →
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Climate Change Portfolio
At this moment the stocks in the model portfolio are: Biotech: ARKG, SGFY, TDOC, VIR, CRSP, BEAM, NTRA, FATE, DNA, TWST, NTLA, SSYS EV: RIVN, PLUG, QS, BLNK, NIO CHIPS/TECH: ARKK, NVDA, PATH, MICR, SMH.PATH SOLAR: RUN, CSIQ, NOVA, JKS,…Continue Reading →
It’s Over
All the FED posturing that we have been enduring since June 16, 2022 is over in my opinion. As of yesterday they have succeeded in puncturing the bubble, congratulations. Of course, if they had done their job correctly, we all…Continue Reading →
Sector Performance Update, with Special Dollar Comments
Here is the sector table updated through last Friday. Note the sectors listed as Biotech, Solar, EV, and Chips make up 80 % of our portfolio. Looking back to when the bottom of the market started on May 11, 2022…Continue Reading →
Sunday Afternoon, Playing with Numbers
I am having a little fun this afternoon. I went to the trading screen and ran some numbers show relationships between 2-year interest rates and each of the main three indices, S&P 500, 30 year bonds, and CRB commodity prices….Continue Reading →
Powell/FED/Performance Review
Ending Easy Money and moving Fed Funds rate to 3.0-3.25 is a big plus 1. Economic and Production Stability enhancement should be the number one FED objective, on this score they get a minus 3. This score is based on…Continue Reading →
Inflation is in Retreat
A little update this morning where in spite of all the FED encouraged carnage, the comparison of market value between today and 6-6-22 when inflation and commodities peaked is revelatory. See sectors ranked below. More good real news today, both…Continue Reading →
Early in the Setup…
With the huge cross currents evolving we are posting tomorrows blog tonight. I am no stranger in getting on a theme early, well before the 50, 100, 200 day trend lines confirm. In this phase I am concentrating on how…Continue Reading →
What Happened Yesterday…
The numbers and charts say that it was the end of something, not the beginning. Let’s look at the footprints. The FED made a big mistake by not ending easy money in August 2020. They compounded the mistake by adding…Continue Reading →
History Tells a Story…
We have taken a look at what has transpired in the markets since the start of the Bubble on August 7. 2020. The analysis looks at sectors and how they performed percentage wise during various time frames created by both…Continue Reading →