Iran War Feedback…
It would appear that what the model is picking up on is a bit of indigestion tied to rising interest rates, no doubt due to Iran War repercussions.
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Letting things Stabilize…
The Climate Tech Model which normally uses 2.8X leverage, has pulled out leverage today. Indications are showing that while long term markets direction points higher, at the moment the tech market portion is stretched.
Debt Fueled Rally is getting Legs…
War and AI debt continues to fuel the markets. What we call “Animal Spirts” are up sharply from March 9 recent lows but are still below the levels of early in 2025 when Trump euphoria was reigning. Interest rates are…Continue Reading →
Stall Time…
A little stall out here. Technically things are improving as RSI’s compress. Time for patience. We have the installation of Warsh plus the wind down of the war over the next 3 to 4 weeks. The Iranian’s will not get…Continue Reading →
Saturday Morning…
This is a good time to think back about things. Here are two important things I recall from my mentors, 56 years ago when I started trading on the CME floor.
Manipulation…
Keep repeating to yourself, this is a manipulated market. The three blobs of rot at the core of the coming stock market rally. * Misplaced AI Euphoria. * Government Debt * Supply side Greed Plan: Ride along with the manipulators…Continue Reading →
Focus of this Blog…
I think for most people, we can provide a positive impact to your thinking on the markets by focusing on the long-term. I think short-term comments by definition in a volatile market are best found on other sites that are…Continue Reading →
That’s About It…
My post of a few days ago, on April 21st, is probably all one needs to think about for the rest of this year, it has the basics, a hot government debt increase based market, and the mid-term battle being…Continue Reading →
Trump’s Surprise…
And it is not that Trump is going to surprise anyone. we all know who he is and what he stands for. The surprise is going to be on Trump, compliments of Kevin Warsh. Warsh actually understands what causes inflation,…Continue Reading →
Opportunity Cost…
While the Model did have a positive day, it did see an opportunity cost in playing it safe at the breakout point. Over the weekend I will go into where things stand for going forward.