The Bond bears have pushed my TLT trade into the Hedge category. This is ok, it will be a positive when the Tech/AI crash comes in 2027. In the meantime our model continues with its Tech/AI/Green focus.I will say that…Continue Reading →
What we are entering is an event that can be best called the “Poverty Games”. They will probably last up into the election. These games will illustrate how manipulated government debt based markets can push asset prices to unbelievable levels…Continue Reading →
I think the markets are fortunate to have Warsh as Fed Chair. His willingness to allow market players to dig holes rather than leading them down a path will be a major positive for markets. The fact that Jeffrey Gundlach…Continue Reading →
I think the Monetary Macro is falling into place where short gold, silver and bitcoin take the stage as the big money moves into stocks and bonds.
The general sell off in stocks since early June has recently had the model make modest changes in direction. At the moment it has increased the Clean energy positions, EV, Battery, and Solar to 34 %, up slightly from 32…Continue Reading →
Trump’s World is imploding. Makes it a very dangerous time to be in the markets. The picture window view is very bearish, but you need to look in the little window in the back to see what Bessent is cooking…Continue Reading →
Today we continue to see the long-term interest rate picture showing a declining 30-05 YC. Again, to me, that continues to indicate short-term rates are being threatened by the FED while the relative weakness of long-term rates tells the real…Continue Reading →
After digging deep into some of my fundamental market material over the past few days, then blogging a bit, and then sleeping on it, I do want to over this weekend talk about what I call the PLAN. First most…Continue Reading →
I am kind of coming out of a six week early summer vacation mode for a few weeks, this is before the late summer August-October vacation mode. This leaves a couple of weeks to dig into the models and see…Continue Reading →
SPCX entered the top end of our sweet spot for engagement this morning, this is a wide spot, 77.40 to 122.40, but down the road I see AI data centers all located in space, not in your cornfield. This is…Continue Reading →