Alan Greenspan…
Back in the day, I heard that the 30Y vs 5Y was Alan’s favorite measure as it was more directly affected by market conditions than other measures. Here is that chart as of today. Alan must be scratching his head,…Continue Reading →
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200 Day Scare…
The last few days we have seen the CNBC guru’s focus on the S&P 500 and the fact that it was trading under the 200-day average. That is true, but how much information does that register as to the Macro…Continue Reading →
Vietnam Redo-The Iran Story…
Whether the United States “lost” the Vietnam War is a subject of historical debate that depends on how you define victory. While the U.S. military won nearly every major battle, it ultimately failed to achieve its primary political objective: maintaining…Continue Reading →
Psychological Infection Point…
On reflection I realize that the posts that I have made over the past couple of months have centered around the Macro Inflection Point of January 29th, 2026. And, as I have dug down into the components of that moment,…Continue Reading →
Things are Unraveling…
There is a lot going on these days, a lot of fear, a lot of speculation, a country on hold. I speak to this a bit today at this post on the front page of our website: Outside the Box…Continue Reading →
The Yin and Yang of…
The Market Sentiment Index that I watch closely has had a huge jump from the January 29th lows. That is the index that measures the combination of long Russell Index and Bonds and short Gold and Silver. It can move…Continue Reading →
Building Blocks in Place…
The two things that we have been waiting for fell into place this morning, the Macro Sentiment Indicator and the Animal Spirits Indicator. The Climate Tech Model is adding leverage to its core climate signals along with adding Leveraged Stock…Continue Reading →
Climate Tech Theme Accelerates…
I do sense that the concern placed on oil supply is a very media sourced short term issue. The Tipping point on oil vs solar passed a number of years ago. Here is what AI points out: The rate of…Continue Reading →
Psychology of Things…
I often say in this blog that that my course work in Industrial Psychology and Logic, intertwined with the outside the box views of one of my professors, Buckminster Fuller back in the 1960’s has been much more important than…Continue Reading →
Macro’s are All Important Here…
Noon time Update: If you like to operate in the Macro Realm, this is a very special time. It appears that Trump and Netanyahu’s Grand Plan has been defeated. Again, one has to keep in mind that Trump at his…Continue Reading →