We are looking at the end of a Nine Year Artificial Bull Market. There is a whole generation of young traders who have never worked with a real market. With the bounce rally completed , overnight the S&P even stretched…Continue Reading →
The Stock Market is following all the technical cues, so rare that it is scary. Overnight the S&P completed its projected bounce from last weeks lows , and has reached our outside target of 2716. A Major Stock Market Decline…Continue Reading →
What is the market saying now? For me, the basic headlines, that it is an interest rate based decline can be accepted. With that said, watch the level of 2712 on the S&P, unless the market closes below that level,…Continue Reading →
This morning while watching CNBC it makes one think that things could not be better. Of course that assumes you ignore increasing deficits and trade wars. But looking deeper into economic research…. The Relationship of Government Deficits and GDP Growth…Continue Reading →
Here we are two days before Thanksgiving, and the three Fairyland trades are quite euphoric and maybe thankful that craziness prevails. These three are Bit Coin, the Stock Market, and the T-Bond market. I am only involved in being long…Continue Reading →
The three major Macro influences are starting to move off center. Our Tracking Fund, EXTH, which is long bonds, long gold, short oil, and short stocks is moving close to an upside breakout point. Every time in the past 8…Continue Reading →
Trickle-Down Economics Movement We will continue to push forward our long held contention, a move towards Trickle-Down Economics is not positive for consumer demand and inflation. The FED Hiking Cycle What is the FED’s current approach, three points.. First, they are…Continue Reading →
For the past 11 months we have seen the US markets playing the reflation scenario. One of the key parts has been an attempt by oil producers to try and get prices back to 2014 levels of more than $…Continue Reading →
Tech Frenzy Recently we have seen a frenzy of buying in Tech Stocks, the so called FANG type stocks (Facebook, Apple, Netflicks, Google, Amazon). If one steps back a bit, you might wonder, are these good investments or are they…Continue Reading →
Yesterday, Less Fear, and a lot of reflation hope. The bigger Issue A major paradigm shift started with Brexit and the 2016 US Presidential Primary. This shift will take a while, years, as a shift to new social, political, and economic standards…Continue Reading →