If you want to be a Macro Value Investor here are a few items of possible interest: 1) In gold adjusted dollar terms the stock market has dropped around 75 percent from June 2001, that doesn’t mean the market cannot go…Continue Reading →
This is a simple contrarian test, what are they saying on CNBC ? 1) buy here because the Fed and Treasury are pulling out all the stops and the market is oversold for this stage of the Macro Cycle; or 2) …Continue Reading →
Tops and bottoms are always panic situations. One thing they say in the business, the easiest way to call a bottom or top is to be there early, feel some pain, you will trade better in the next stage of…Continue Reading →
If you have had time to look through the bench mark data we presented yesterday, you will have seen that there is no free lunch when you invest with a Macro methodology. Sometimes the events take longer than you would…Continue Reading →
Yesterday should probably be named the “Cramer Bottom” after the famed CNBC made his sell call yesterday morning. The market will move upward from here, the technicals are supportive and probably will affect most areas, even commodities, especially the softs….Continue Reading →
Early today I received an email saying basically, you must feel bad being long today and how do your readers know if you are going off the deep end? The answer to the first question is that we didn’t feel good…Continue Reading →
Investors around the world are waiting for someone else to start initiating value trades. So be patient here, our conservative portfolio remains in cash and is up 13.5 percent for the year. Our regular portfolio (aggressive decision model) is 100…Continue Reading →
This New York Times Article printed yesterday is probably the best behind the scenes look at what led to our current bank problem. One thing come to mind in reading this, Paulson and Cox have to be watched closely in their…Continue Reading →
Unless something new developes in the next hour, we in our aggressive model portfolio are going to step up our long positions to 70 percent long this morning from the current 38 percent long (the conservative traditional portfolio has been…Continue Reading →
At critical market junctures like we are in right at this moment it always seems important to review: 1) what the market knows and how long it has known it, 2) how it has reacted to what it has known,…Continue Reading →