Concept of the Day…
This today from Peter Schiff, one of the smarter people on X, maybe because he is almost as old as me. For decades we as Americans have lived beyond our means by consuming far more than we produce. To make…Continue Reading →
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Forget Deficit Reduction …
Everyone learned a lot yesterday. Things are following the theme we made yesterday morning before the opening. Trump’s goal to reduce the deficit has been thrown under the bus. Manipulation out of Washington is out in front of everything. Tariffs…Continue Reading →
Markets are Embracing Inflation and Higher Deficits…
Here is what one has to ponder in todays market environment: First, everyone is on their own at this juncture, there are no safe choices. The market did reach a Macro Value area last Friday. The tariffs are going to…Continue Reading →
A Time to Tread Water…
Speculative short-term garbage buying is dominating action today. The market is back to its old ways prior to Feb 23. The model points to treading water at the moment with positions that have at least a six-month life span.
Time to Put Away Panic and take up Analysis…
Last Friday our Climate Tech Model pointed to the fact that based on what everyone knows at this point, the markets have declined into an oversold value zone. What is important now is the actual impact of the tariffs and…Continue Reading →
Saturday Morning Musing, Part 3…
Shay Boloor MY OPEN LETTER TO PRESIDENT TRUMP The frustrating part is that I was on board for a reset. Truly. I’ve said it publicly. I’ve written about it in this very feed. I understood the need for a detox….Continue Reading →
Saturday Morning Musing, Part 2…
John Mauldin The Tariff Recession April 5, 2025 Good news: Tariffs will not make the world end. American businesses will do what they do best, which is adapt. While the probability of a recession has increased, we always get through…Continue Reading →
Saturday Morning Musing, Part 1…
This morning, a good cup of coffee, some sunshine, and a market closed for the weekend, makes for a time to circle the wagons. So, what I am going to do first is share a post I made here in…Continue Reading →
Climate Change Model signal…
Climate Tech Model has signaled to remove short hedges this morning at 8:45 CDT, it is now naked long. Also noted is that interest rate declines over the past two days are actually at this point raising the “Animal Spirits”…Continue Reading →
“Animal Spirits”…
“Animal Spirits” an analytical measure that we developed some years ago and use and spoke to in a post here on Tuesday, showed an amazing reading on the opening today. The reading was sharply higher than yesterday’s close and actually…Continue Reading →