If the economy and markets are feeling a bit strange to you these days you are not alone. Lies and false statements put out by the White House and Treasury predominate. So, for the moment you have to trade the…Continue Reading →
Based on our Macro model the short gold / long bond trade is clicking in place. We have watched this trade develop for some time, since Sept 5th, while building a small tracking position. This will be the catalyst for…Continue Reading →
Model Hedges are not working, so unless this pattern changes today will be looking to undo them by close today. If the economy and markets are feeling a bit strange to you these days you are not alone. Lies and…Continue Reading →
While the markets remain soft and some technical indicators are flashing warning waves, the market is trying to hold. This is a dicey time, the big money players remain long and have more money than the technical indicators can offset….Continue Reading →
In our Climate Tech Model we have seen warnings relative to this bull market running into the brick wall. We saw it on 8/6, 8/20, 9/2, all those abated, but the warning signal that we saw signs of on Wednesday…Continue Reading →
Just a gut feeling, but I think Neil Young and Willie Nelson ignited a feeling that we saw Peak Trump over the weekend. Markets are acting very subdued the past couple of days, the players don’t want to sell but…Continue Reading →
The driving dynamic at the moment is an AI Frenzy. The negative dynamics at the moment are the Trump economic policies. Getting serious in this environment means that one has to acknowledge that there is no real thought by the…Continue Reading →
Yesterday I talked about the two indicators that weigh heavily on my analysis of the markets, The Monetary Multiplier and the Market Multiplier. Today we see the markets reacting to a high probability that the 2 year rate, and all…Continue Reading →
Today as the market got an inflation pass with a PPI number that it can live with, it finds itself in an atmosphere that has had its enthusiasm drained. Lets take a look at our two index indicators with which…Continue Reading →
A key chart for a change in thinking, the Gold/Bond ratio. And a second less obvious thing… The Bitcoin/Bond Ratio.