Well first it doesn’t fit on the page and I am hurring to a meeting. It is the chart of consumer confidence that was updated yesterday. Consumer sentiment does tend to correlate with the macro economic cycle, and this topped in 2000, see chart. …Continue Reading →
If you look at the Bubble Count section on our Home Page which we wrote five years ago, the last Bubble is the T-Bond Bubble which has yet to be popped, but it will in the next three years, maybe…Continue Reading →
As in years past, we like to let the year provide a little peak before making the yearly forecast and projections. Note that this blog was first published on January 22, 2008. Our Annual Forecast will be presented in the…Continue Reading →
We all have many times heard “don’t fight the Fed”. Those days may be over as the current Fed is treading uncharted waters and there have been signs since QE3 that things are not working like the old days. We…Continue Reading →
It is difficult to focus this morning after getting home from last night’s Victory Celebration in Chicago. The markets beckon with streams of Red as apparently the Koch brothers, the CNBC crowd and their followers dump stocks this morning as…Continue Reading →
After last week’s down market we are seeing a market without much direction today. A close under the 1419 level in the S&P this week would be a strong indication of trouble ahead. Over the weekend John Mauldin’s outside the box…Continue Reading →
While the equity markets bounce around in the trap, other markets still show that they are still willing to follow the FED. T-Bonds are still supported and the dollar is still shunned. All this indicates is that the day when the issues are tackled…Continue Reading →
Blog Update Last Thursday our webmaster attempted to upgrade our blog to the latest software level and in the process encountered difficulties. As such we had to retrieve our blog posts from the last four years from backup files. The…Continue Reading →
Republican investors have four days before they need to decide whether to bail out of the stock market because of their fear of another 4 years of Obama. Next Wednesday is their last day of hope, the day when Barack…Continue Reading →
Big Stakes: Inflation or Deflation A betting person would say that the chances of deflation replacing inflation are very low after years of an inflation based Federal Reserve Monetary Policy, in fact the gold market is saying that the probability is…Continue Reading →