The short Stock position is what is important at the moment, 20 % down is the next stage, then probably 30 %. Building a short Bond position should be a look at the future and something to be inched into…Continue Reading →
Our View For the many reasons we have elaborated on at length for almost the past two years, our Fracture strategy was keyed on the January 2018 Fracture event. Essentially we started with short positions and added to them based…Continue Reading →
The Crash, That IS Our view is that we are seeing an elongated Cyclical top in the stock market. The reasons have been elaborated on at length since the January 2018 Fracture date. Nothing fundamentally seems to make a difference….Continue Reading →
Breakout is setup in Stocks Direction is going to be either sharply higher or sharply lower, maybe today…. We think lower, but in this day and age…???
As the scenario that started in January 2018 continues to unfold, Hope on the part of Trump believers has been the dominant word on the economic front. That hope is dominated by stock market positions fueled by stock buybacks. To…Continue Reading →
Today, twenty months in the making.
Yesterday’s rally to 2940 on the S&P was close enough to the 2954 resistance area to say that was all of the bounce from this weeks sell-off that we will see. That was a quick end to the trading bounce….Continue Reading →
On that day the game makers in Washington convinced the world that they had everything figured out. The market did make a new high in the following days by a percent or so, but now the chickens are coming home…Continue Reading →
Following up on Themes The Economic Fracture The little hiccup in the market yesterday occurred at an important level and is the first indication of a change in the bounce since 12/24/18, other than a brief change on 1/29/19. The…Continue Reading →
The Verdict The verdict is still out on the stock market rally since Christmas Eve 2018. It has been impressive, but what does it say about the next 18 months. Prognosticators out in Force It seems that many want to…Continue Reading →