Think Support, Not Stimulus
Enough said for today. Review our posts for the past week for more depth.
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All the Smart People
Shifting gears from my last blog post on the Macro Cycle outlook. I have taken a couple of days to settle in and not blog as the markets stall. The explainers are now out in force. Just watch two daily…Continue Reading →
Next Bull Market Top, Year 2050 to 2070
The euphoria and mania surrounding todays markets are in my view, characteristics of a recession rollover. Trading or investing with a defensive posture may have seemed brutal since last August but with all the hope injected into the pandemic and…Continue Reading →
FED is on the Brink…with update at 1:30 PM CST
The FED fund rate is on the Brink of being pushed higher by the FED as the 3 month rate is approaching zero this week. This at a time when longer term rates, the 10 year, 20 year, and 30…Continue Reading →
Winding up on Hope
To me it would appear that Hope has approached a peak level, and now reality will start to become a bigger input into the equation. Stocks and commodities are culminating the move that started last August, a move based on…Continue Reading →
Infatuated with the Old Normal
That is what I see in the market action this week, except for the Robinhood excitement. I guess it is too bad that the Robinhood traders had not read the Bunker Hunt silver story from the 80’s, but now they…Continue Reading →
Where things are..Reflections
For any long time follower of this blog, you know it is not about trading…more about a philosophy of how economics and politics mesh with the markets in a macro sense. And we all know that history shows how civilizations…Continue Reading →
Who would have thought ?
A year ago, that a new virus or a game stock would be the two major disruptive factors. So everyone is concerned about the volatility that is being seen this week and wanting some part of government to fix things….Continue Reading →
Have Stocks become a Coping Mechanism ?
What if stocks are just a coping mechanism to the pandemic, a manifestation of crowd behavior, with little or no attachment to value or any measure of economics. If true, as we approach the end of the pandemic, and the…Continue Reading →
It’s Obvious
The market is grossly overpriced and everyone knows it. You just have to have patience here on the short positions. Let everyone kill each other. The average S&P short position in our trading algo is 3608, 24 units since start…Continue Reading →