Tricky Time…
The next couple of months are going to be tricky. With everyone wanting to be long and already long, you are going to need to be bearish enough to wait for probably unbelievably lower levels to buy, and you are…Continue Reading →
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No One has a real Clue, Not even the Donald…
This morning the market hypers seem to want the message to be that Trump will quickly start modifying his Liberation Story for the stock market. Musk’s big defeat in Wisconsin has supposedly sobered the MAGA Crowd. Coming in to today…Continue Reading →
What if Deficits are the Price of being Number One…
Could it be that all the talk of tariffs and everyone moving to a level field is a fool’s errand? If the U.S. goal is really to be on its own, too isolate, and erase the trade deficit, we will…Continue Reading →
Do Trade Deficits Matter…
By john Mauldin Mar 29, 2025 John’s letter this week is so timely and complete that I am including it in totality. Financial market news has seemingly become all tariffs, all the time. The president’s plan, whatever it is, seems…Continue Reading →
The Big Economic Risks come in the Last Half of the Year…
Chaos reigns as we pass through the first 100 Days of Trumpism. That is a concern and has been a factor for any investor as they try to adjust portfolios. The bigger immediate and long-term risk is to the health…Continue Reading →
The Great Trump Slide…
Today’s action makes it clear that we have witnessed a classic fish hook pattern be created in the Nasdaq 100 stock chart. This means that the March 13 lows were probably the halfway point in the 100 day Trump Trial…Continue Reading →
Interest Rates are at a Crossroads…
We are in a news flow market. President Trump, Treasury Secretary Bessent, Jay Powell, and real fundamental news have interest rate direction in turmoil. Bessent is focused on the 10 year rate as he is trying to push government borrowing…Continue Reading →
Wake up America…
This piece was posted by Peter Schiff yesterday. He is someone I always find worth monitoring. @PeterSchiff There is a misconception in the Trump administration regarding the nature of the relationship the U.S. has with the rest of the world….Continue Reading →
Things are Getting Close to Really Chaotic…
Here is a guest presentation from John Mauldin’s letter, citing Danelle DiMartino Booth, an economist that does some solid work, she would suggest that we are closer to a recession than many think, especially the FED. My offhand comment, The…Continue Reading →
Tentative Bottom…
Market is luring people into a tentative bottom the past couple of days. Our Model is remaining fully hedged as it is signaling a washout in Tech stocks before a sustained rally in the overall market can get started.