We continue to work on our 2025 Macro Projections and one thing that is jumping out at us is the multiplier that we use to forecast the various components; S&P, Nasdaq 100, Bonds, Commodities, and Gold. And that is the…Continue Reading →
Back on November 12, we talked about the stocks that big guy holders believe will be treated very favorably by the new administration in terms of taxes and regulation. While our model had shown the tech and chip stocks were…Continue Reading →
Bitcoin at zero. Could it happen, probably not but it could get close at some point in the coming year. It is an idea with no economic value, totally based on no one selling. Its Achilles heel will be mass…Continue Reading →
Here is something to think about, I hear many conservatives say, since the election, that Trump may not be the Ideologue that the liberals feel he is. What he has is a sense of the direction that the people of…Continue Reading →
Today we saw the completion of valuation pricing of NVDA. The sell signal was confirmed with a lot volatility, but it stuck. Now we move on to pricing of the Tariff effect on the broader stock market. This started on…Continue Reading →
Speculative Demand Index, here is what we use in our model. You can see that it had a pop up on Nov 5 after the election and today declined below the support level. The recent high was on Sept 26,…Continue Reading →
The Markets Fatal Flaw in my view, it is not that Forward P/E ratios are high, it is the expected earnings part of the equation. Turbulent disruptive times do not make for happy strong earnings. As market participants adjust to…Continue Reading →
What is the Neutral Interest rate? First, this is a fascinating day, big macro economic things are happening, and Jim Cramer is instead concentrating on old news, i.e. the Digital Age, the driver of the market for the last couple…Continue Reading →
Joe Biden had a good economy for a number of reasons. First, he was aggressive in getting the FED and the Administration to work together in turning around the pandemic panic. Secondly, he believed that there was a War on…Continue Reading →
The Big Guys seem to be running as the Trump story unfolds. I always watch three stocks to see what the Big Money is doing, i.e. the base where inequality sits. Three stocks are a good representation, KKR, BLK, and…Continue Reading →