Today, consumer recession fears hit the market and interest rates dropped to expected lower rate projection. Follow-up on January 29 interest rate view. Today we got a swing down to the lower forecast level with a 4.26 % hit. A…Continue Reading →
What if Trump Stupidity overtakes Trump Hype. Back in in the January 13 to 16 period our Climate Tech Model removed short hedges. That seemed ok until today. now the broad market is back into that hedge lifting price zone….Continue Reading →
The chart here shows a 20 year picture of the relationship of stock market pricing and economic fundamentals.
The Overview Trump and his administration are very dangerous for Americans in general. Many people don’t realize that a major government efficiency move started in 2013 in the Obama Administration. Its name was U.S. Digital Service. Trump and Musk took…Continue Reading →
This market is just starting the White House AWE and /Wall Street Manipulation stage, maybe enjoy it and watch consumer confidence, GDP, and Government Deficits out of the corner of your eye. When deficits and inflation take off and GDP…Continue Reading →
Today on our front page we have posted a long piece of special analysis on factors involved in the Political/Economic scene. You can access from this link: bit.ly/40SYjZw Or you can just go to the front page and take a…Continue Reading →
I had a reader ask a question as to why I do not talk much about market technicals, favoring fundamental and political factors. So first I would say, that yes it is true that I do not follow technicals as…Continue Reading →
Bottom-line repeated. What we are seeing unfold will make the DOGE effort easier. As the US isolates, we can cut our military budget by at least a third. 1. Internally, Wall Street and Silicon Valley wizards and their games will…Continue Reading →
Sitting tight with thoughts put out in our annual forecast here on January 7. I think this first 100 days of Shock and Awe need to play out. When first quarter earnings start coming out in April will be the…Continue Reading →
Fed meeting is history. So back to the economy and markets. Here is what I heard Jay say: 1. Forecasts are always conditional. 2. Currently economy has additional uncertainty. 3. Economy feels like it is in a good place. 4….Continue Reading →