This week has been a bitter pill to take. In 2002 I decided to put together an investing/trading approach that would key on Political/Economic situations and have technical backup. That led to five years of being primarily long the Gold…Continue Reading →
This is a simple contrarian test, what are they saying on CNBC ? 1) buy here because the Fed and Treasury are pulling out all the stops and the market is oversold for this stage of the Macro Cycle; or 2) …Continue Reading →
Tops and bottoms are always panic situations. One thing they say in the business, the easiest way to call a bottom or top is to be there early, feel some pain, you will trade better in the next stage of…Continue Reading →
If you have had time to look through the bench mark data we presented yesterday, you will have seen that there is no free lunch when you invest with a Macro methodology. Sometimes the events take longer than you would…Continue Reading →
Early today I received an email saying basically, you must feel bad being long today and how do your readers know if you are going off the deep end? The answer to the first question is that we didn’t feel good…Continue Reading →
Investors around the world are waiting for someone else to start initiating value trades. So be patient here, our conservative portfolio remains in cash and is up 13.5 percent for the year. Our regular portfolio (aggressive decision model) is 100…Continue Reading →
This New York Times Article printed yesterday is probably the best behind the scenes look at what led to our current bank problem. One thing come to mind in reading this, Paulson and Cox have to be watched closely in their…Continue Reading →
At critical market junctures like we are in right at this moment it always seems important to review: 1) what the market knows and how long it has known it, 2) how it has reacted to what it has known,…Continue Reading →
Maybe for now, but this is not THE BOTTOM. We remain at 38 percent long stocks and 7 percent short bonds as this possible bounce unfolds. The first formidable upside resistance is about 15 to 16 percent above recent lows….Continue Reading →
The Third quarter ends today. I have to admit that we have reservations about a lot of things that have evolved over the past year and certainly this quarter and really don’t know where to start with comments today. Overnight…Continue Reading →