Today as the market got an inflation pass with a PPI number that it can live with, it finds itself in an atmosphere that has had its enthusiasm drained. Lets take a look at our two index indicators with which…Continue Reading →

A key chart for a change in thinking, the Gold/Bond ratio. And a second less obvious thing… The Bitcoin/Bond Ratio.

If the much-anticipated stock market bubble is to occur, it will be triggered by a Cinderella mind set on the part of the big guys. That mindset will be made public by an abandonment of Gold and Bitcoin as a…Continue Reading →

For this early stage of the Bubble we have probably seen most of the AI sector sell-off as of today. Next, Powell speaks, then digestion regardless of what he says, then more Bubble.

I will just list some key points to ponder: On a totally different topic, Monetary Driver Research… in my work on the monetary drivers for this stock market, the steep yield curves is by far the biggest driver, while gold…Continue Reading →

Climate Tech model made some adjustments in its weightings today based on environmental inputs. Allocation to climate based stocks, especially solar and battery, were increased while allocations to tech/AI areas were decreased, cut by approximately a third. In spite of…Continue Reading →

As the consumer economy stagnates and leading edge, discretionary stuff like restaurants, are already starting down, we are seeing the overall Big 2025 AI story develop cracks around the edges Of 27 AI related stocks that we have been tracking…Continue Reading →

On a relative basis there are probably better places to invest than AI at this point. The market action of yesterday and today are critical to the extension of the markets. The driving force around the bull move, AI, seems…Continue Reading →

This is starting out as a strange day, animal spirits spurted up over the last two days to test the recent high level of 3.16, but underlying economic drivers are flat, we are watching closely. One thing stands out, is…Continue Reading →

Over the past few weeks we are rightly seeing our Market Multiplier Index making some important moves. Last Monday, a week ago, it peaked for the year at 3.16. Then Friday after the employment number it dropped to 3.00. Today…Continue Reading →

At the moment the market has a problem, reasons are twofold; the animal spirits indicator topped at 3.15 on Monday and has dropped to 3.07 today. Bulls are tired. Reset coming up.

We are now some six months into Making America Great. So far chaos has reigned in a number of areas, but trends on employment and interest rates have been steady. To a certain extent that is due to a steady…Continue Reading →

Did the U.S. really win the trade war over the weekend? Or is this just another step toward isolation, maybe the rest of the world is calculating how to live without the U.S. as much as possible, Make America Great…Continue Reading →

Making America Great Again-Unsustainably-all the stuff that makes no sense economically-tariffs-beating up on the FED-pushing dubious crypto deals-moving money to the top-is leading to a monstrous bubble-like total stock valuation 300 % of GDP-will give us a 29 style crash-down…Continue Reading →

Today is a bit of a kick back day for the markets, they are selling off Climate Tech and the Russell and buying the expensive stuff. Being a contrarian against this dominant trend is usually a good thing for short…Continue Reading →