I will just list some key points to ponder: On a totally different topic, Monetary Driver Research… in my work on the monetary drivers for this stock market, the steep yield curves is by far the biggest driver, while gold…Continue Reading →

Climate Tech model made some adjustments in its weightings today based on environmental inputs. Allocation to climate based stocks, especially solar and battery, were increased while allocations to tech/AI areas were decreased, cut by approximately a third. In spite of…Continue Reading →

As the consumer economy stagnates and leading edge, discretionary stuff like restaurants, are already starting down, we are seeing the overall Big 2025 AI story develop cracks around the edges Of 27 AI related stocks that we have been tracking…Continue Reading →

On a relative basis there are probably better places to invest than AI at this point. The market action of yesterday and today are critical to the extension of the markets. The driving force around the bull move, AI, seems…Continue Reading →

This is starting out as a strange day, animal spirits spurted up over the last two days to test the recent high level of 3.16, but underlying economic drivers are flat, we are watching closely. One thing stands out, is…Continue Reading →

Over the past few weeks we are rightly seeing our Market Multiplier Index making some important moves. Last Monday, a week ago, it peaked for the year at 3.16. Then Friday after the employment number it dropped to 3.00. Today…Continue Reading →

At the moment the market has a problem, reasons are twofold; the animal spirits indicator topped at 3.15 on Monday and has dropped to 3.07 today. Bulls are tired. Reset coming up.

We are now some six months into Making America Great. So far chaos has reigned in a number of areas, but trends on employment and interest rates have been steady. To a certain extent that is due to a steady…Continue Reading →

Did the U.S. really win the trade war over the weekend? Or is this just another step toward isolation, maybe the rest of the world is calculating how to live without the U.S. as much as possible, Make America Great…Continue Reading →

Making America Great Again-Unsustainably-all the stuff that makes no sense economically-tariffs-beating up on the FED-pushing dubious crypto deals-moving money to the top-is leading to a monstrous bubble-like total stock valuation 300 % of GDP-will give us a 29 style crash-down…Continue Reading →

Today is a bit of a kick back day for the markets, they are selling off Climate Tech and the Russell and buying the expensive stuff. Being a contrarian against this dominant trend is usually a good thing for short…Continue Reading →

In the past three days we have seen a remarkable change in the ratio of the NDX to RUT with the Russell gaining on the Nasdaq 100 in a measurable way. That stabilizes the picture in a big way. It…Continue Reading →

55 years ago today, July 15, 1970 was the day I started trading on the floor of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange as a cattle trader. A lot has changed since then. As to the Markets: They look tired today, response…Continue Reading →

I am thinking that maybe a weekly update on thinking might be good every Tuesday morning during the summer, maybe longer. This approach can take account of our Climate Tech Model’s macro positioning and include micro items from the prior…Continue Reading →

Here is the link to our mid-year Baseline Forecast. We tried to be as comprehensive as possible. Mid-Year 2025 Macro Baselines… – Eureka Perspectives