Yesterday we saw a bit of AI adjustment. That is good, Larry Ellison is the armpit of the nation. But the fact remains that Wall Street believes the tax cut, less regulation, Powell talking about increasing productivity story, and that…Continue Reading →

Markets seem to be taking a little break prior to seeing the real employment numbers next week, albeit as Powell suggests that employment is probably being overstated by 40 to 60 thousand per month these days. It probably does make…Continue Reading →

This Fed Meeting rollout should be rather exciting to watch. The Bond bears have decided that there is a big problem with the Yield Curve expansion that the stock bulls see as bullish on stocks. The consumer bears see a…Continue Reading →

Once in a while I share something that seems to be relevant to me. Here is a piece this morning from the Bahnsen Group that I have subscribed to for some time. I have found that their info provides a…Continue Reading →

We probably have had enough digestion of last week’s activity. So, markets seem to be ready to start moving up again. The fundamental bullish backdrop remains simply a combination of rising government deficits, rising GDP based on the AI buildout,…Continue Reading →

That the Thanksgiving Week action signals a breakout. They could well be correct, but they may want to be a little cautious. There definitely are bullish Animal Spirits indications and a strong indication of a Dovish next FED Chair. Those…Continue Reading →

Model closed out all the hedge signals, kind of a strange situation, underlying climate stocks are up more than the hedges, but what the Russell index is doing today points to the sell-off risk as dampening.

Sorry folks, talk of an interest rate cut looks somewhat premature. A little back up to 4.30 level on the 10 yr looks like a real possibility as the FED ponders matters.

On Friday the markets started showing signs that performance was not congruent with the structure at the moment. I think there is more thrashing and cleanout coming in this scenario. I am still looking at the 6330 to 6810 range…Continue Reading →

There is a budding Artificial Intelligence Bubble, it is not here yet and it’s not about anything that people are saying. It is simply because the term is only half valid. The first word artificial is spot on. The second…Continue Reading →

Please keep in mind, in confused trading range markets, sell rally’s, buy breaks. Not talking day-trading, but macro turning points. Taking the S&P 500 as an example: the model looks at the current macro trading range as 6330 to 6810.

Following up with our direction of last Wednesday, the 12th. The U.S. economy is in the midst of no leadership. Chaos has been the reigning force. Traders and investors have walked into a scene where no one knows who to…Continue Reading →

As I mentioned this past week I am going to move into a new era of my life. Depending on the demographer, I am part of the end of the “Silent Generation” or the beginning of the ‘Boomer Generation”. In…Continue Reading →

The Climate Tech Model moved to full defense mode today. No outstanding directives. We will talk about the economics and politics that are the driving forces, over the weekend.

As of today, I am moving beyond market comments and will be concentrating thoughts and analysis to economic and political factors and analysis that may evolve from that focus. As such, daily comments will be rare, probably some weekly, but…Continue Reading →