The hedge / short pattern that we outlined starting on September 1 and have continued to see build is moving to a point where the downside could see some acceleration with a possible C-4 signal in what I view as…Continue Reading →

Looking into the 2026 mid-terms…                          by D.L. Knepp  10/27/26 I like to use Microsoft’s CoPilot AI to research the ramifications and perspective it offers by providing context to issues. This is the question that I asked AI to start this…Continue Reading →

.. That is what appears to be happening in the markets. The October 6 blow-off stands in control. Bottom pickers are out in mass this week. The Fed is not going to do anything. the mid-terms are coming, the Republicans…Continue Reading →

It seems that Bitcoin is a better stock crash sentiment forecaster than it is a stock crash protector. Essentially it rally’s and crashes with stocks. Our Climate Tech Model monitors the Bitcoin 2x inverse ETF SBIT. This provides more perspective…Continue Reading →

I think a big factor is pointed out in the chart relationship of the Nasdaq 100 versus the Russell 2000. The monopolistic big tech companies have gotten a high percentage of the gains. That doesn’t sit well with hard working…Continue Reading →

Today we are seeing the whole market and economic picture that started in late July, kind of sort itself out. Here are some short-term strategic items to monitor: Of the sectors and ETF’s and sectors that I listed back on…Continue Reading →

While I wait for markets to clear the air that the bond vigilantes stirred up a couple of months ago, I decided to take a deep look into AI players. “Using AI to look at itself, October 2026” Here is…Continue Reading →

A lot of basic volatility has been occurring since the Bond Vigilantes attacked the markets on August 3rd. Interest rates went up and key markets did a little back off, but by and large, major indices have tried to ignore…Continue Reading →

What has been learned this morning, probably that short term interest rates have topped for the moment. I am watching copper closely this morning as it has a high correlation to AI Stocks, it is not acting that well. If…Continue Reading →

Starting on August 3rd we have seen equity markets follow a stairstep pattern of coming to a reckoning with rising interest rates. I try to keep it simple by monitoring eleven different indices for the underlying movement. At this moment…Continue Reading →

The picture is getting darker as the C-4 sell signal builds on the S&P 500. Previous patterns of that signal point would indicate that the trigger is close to being pulled. There are a lot of possibilities of what that…Continue Reading →

What we are witnessing since August 3rd, has been a long time coming. I am posting a chart here of an index I created, SPX (the S&P 500 ) divided by TBT (the short bond ETF) starting in 2008. What…Continue Reading →

If you go back to our posts from August 31st to date, it should be apparent that the theme is that the “Trump Stock Market Manipulation based on liquidity based around increasing government deficits” has hit a brick wall. That…Continue Reading →

Update on our Models C-0 to C-4 market crash signals that we outlined in our blog on September10th. As of today’s close we have a C-4 signal on our broad eight factor unweighted index, (SPX+NDX+RUT+DJI+DJT+XLF+XLY), that is significant. What will…Continue Reading →

Occasionally I chat with CoPilot AI on the state of things in the market, today I asked: What inner stock market crosscurrents led to the 1987 stock market crash Copilot said: The 1987 crash was not caused by a single…Continue Reading →