Update on our Models C-0 to C-4 market crash signals that we outlined in our blog on September10th. As of today’s close we have a C-4 signal on our broad eight factor unweighted index, (SPX+NDX+RUT+DJI+DJT+XLF+XLY), that is significant. What will…Continue Reading →
Occasionally I chat with CoPilot AI on the state of things in the market, today I asked: What inner stock market crosscurrents led to the 1987 stock market crash Copilot said: The 1987 crash was not caused by a single…Continue Reading →
To me we are witnessing a confrontation between the 1) the Broad Economy, 2) the Commodity/Inflation Economy, and the 3) AI Build Economy. After the bond vigilantes took over on August 3rd, our Climate Tech Model has had a difficult…Continue Reading →
I am talking about what occurred in the time period between August 8 and September 18. On the face of it, that is what the market seems to be saying. There seems to be the conclusion that higher rates are…Continue Reading →
The Climate Model cut its long climate stock signals in half back on September 1 and now will be going beyond those signals being hedged to 80 % in an active ladder of 3x short ETF signals comprised of SPXS,…Continue Reading →
Let’s let all this sink in for an hour or days. whatever it takes. Looking at the Model internals, I am thinking that the next signals out of the Model will be speculative short sales of popular indexes on rallys…Continue Reading →
One has to keep in the back of your mind that Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh has explicitly linked Quantitative Tightening (QT) to a broader strategy for addressing supply side inflation, framing it as part of a “pragmatic monetarism” approach. It…Continue Reading →
Climate Model has a bit in Solar and Hydrogen and batteries, everything else is gone or hedged.
In a way I feel like the last 39 years have been training for the coming period. In 1987 I was trading in Chicago when the crash occurred. Fortunately, our early technical trading system got us out of the market…Continue Reading →
A few days ago our Climate Change Model ,which gets its name because a minimum one third of its portfolio is in climate related stocks, flashed a Hedge signal. For our internal use this signal has four levels, C-0 to…Continue Reading →