Archive for November 2025

People Want to Believe…

That the Thanksgiving Week action signals a breakout. They could well be correct, but they may want to be a little cautious. There definitely are bullish Animal Spirits indications and a strong indication of a Dovish next FED Chair. Those…Continue Reading →

Sell Off Risk Dampening??

Model closed out all the hedge signals, kind of a strange situation, underlying climate stocks are up more than the hedges, but what the Russell index is doing today points to the sell-off risk as dampening.

Unwarranted Optimism…

On Friday the markets started showing signs that performance was not congruent with the structure at the moment. I think there is more thrashing and cleanout coming in this scenario. I am still looking at the 6330 to 6810 range…Continue Reading →

AI Headwinds…

There is a budding Artificial Intelligence Bubble, it is not here yet and it’s not about anything that people are saying. It is simply because the term is only half valid. The first word artificial is spot on. The second…Continue Reading →

Keep in Mind…

Please keep in mind, in confused trading range markets, sell rally’s, buy breaks. Not talking day-trading, but macro turning points. Taking the S&P 500 as an example: the model looks at the current macro trading range as 6330 to 6810.

Full Defense Mode…

The Climate Tech Model moved to full defense mode today. No outstanding directives. We will talk about the economics and politics that are the driving forces, over the weekend.

Winding Down…

As of today, I am moving beyond market comments and will be concentrating thoughts and analysis to economic and political factors and analysis that may evolve from that focus. As such, daily comments will be rare, probably some weekly, but…Continue Reading →