A little Summary before the Next Stage…

The Overview

Trump and his administration are very dangerous for Americans in general.

Many people don’t realize that a major government efficiency move started in 2013 in the Obama Administration. Its name was U.S. Digital Service. Trump and Musk took it over three weeks ago and changed the name to DOGE. As of last Friday, many of the highly skilled employees have been replaced with Trump loyalists. Forget more efficiency.

For me. I want to live in a U.S. that is in a leadership role in major areas like health, technology, and food production. A couple of days ago i posted a Fed Reserve based chart showing how since 1980 the majority of the government deficits have occurred during Republican administrations.

Trump is pushing an Imperialist agenda. This is contrary to the original isolationist direction of MAGA that Steve Bannon set in place back in 2016. Based on Bannon’s current War Room following, the core 30 % of the voting populace that voted for Trump are still in that mindset. The other 21% of the voting populace that put Trump over the top in the election are probably clueless about the big picture.

Out of this quagmire, now including Musk, a dangerous and probably unintended result to Trumps current actions, including tariff wars, and economic disruption to U.S. markets is that the rest of the world other than Russia and Saudi Arabia, are going to be pushed to isolate from the U.S.

As the US isolates, we can cut our military budget by at least a third. Of course, the Republicans will not go along with this.

1. Internally, Wall Street and Silicon Valley wizards and their games will be first isolation casualty.

2. The rest of the World will abandon the US with new vigorous alliances arising.

With the market at kind of a mid-point for the first quarter and getting ready to move to the next stage of activity it might be a good time to review our posts for the year.

A. We will start with our 2025 Projections and Outlook posted on our home page on January 7th. It basically looks for the stock market to peak in the February 15-April 15 period. 2025 Macro Outlook and Projections… – Eureka Perspectives

B. On January 16th, we outlined the 2025 scenario, Reset first, then the Upward Manipulation, then the Crash. We are starting into the volatile end of the Reset period, with the Upward Manipulation period beginning soon.

C. On January 19th we outlined how our Climate Tech Model is approaching core climate change stocks. These stock outlook setups remain in place and as of this week have moved above recommended acquisition levels. Also, in that post we outlined how people need to think like traders overall and be willing to be either long or short based on short term input which at that moment pointed towards a long bias.

D. On January 23rd we repeated the expected format, Euphoria driving the first three or four months.

E. On January 27th and 29th we pointed out an expected range on market interest rates for the first three months of the year to be 4.0 to 4.7%. So far that has generally been the case.

F. On February 4th, we did a bit of philosophy follow-up.

G. On February 5th we outlined technical factors that point to a market decline in second half of the year.

H. On February 8 we posted the very long political backstory. It is what it is.

I. And yesterday we pointed out that we are nearing the end of the RESET period.

J. Today we are seeing the kind of downside volatility that can occur as an upside breakout stages.

The current picture follows here:

1. At the moment astute technical traders are pointing to a distribution pattern that signals a technical top to the markets.
2. My cynical, maybe contrarian view, however, is that the stock market is largely controlled by big money Wall Street interests.
3. Long term the big guys want the market to go higher, and periodically they run little crash alerts to shake out small investors. Today is one of those.
4. And once in a while the big guys get caught, like 1929, 1987, 2008. Key is to know when they are going to get caught. There is a good chance the last half of 2025 is a key time for that to occur.
5. At the moment it would appear the market is in the early stages of a melt up, breaking out of the distribution pattern with a crazy 7183 S&P level possible. M-2 is rising, and copper shows industrial demand.
6. Then, when that is all over, and the consumer gags, you know the drill. We are still a 70 % consumer market, and consumers are starting to lose employment status.
7. Keep in mind, everyone including Trump, wants interest rates to decline. Patience, Interest rates will drop after the market crash.