Stair Steps to a Great 2025…

We plan to have our 2025 Macro Model Projections posted on December 27th. I can say that from an early review of the analysis that the overall pattern is as follows:

1. At this moment we are in the Trump Reset period, it may go on through January 3rd before the final cleanout phase. We continue to see a probability of hitting S&P 5300 on the downside during this phase. The main thing holding the market up at this point is a reluctance for the Longs to take profits in the 2024 year. But who knows a day may occur where the players decide the risk of loss in the market is greater than the tax consequences.
2. After the Reset period we will see a period of extreme chaos where bully pulpit Chaos will reign, whether from Trump or Musk. This will be a period of extreme manipulation, probably will include a brief huge rally as all the animal forces come together for one final Hurrah.
3. Then reality will set in, by May 1st I our model will have moved to zero stock positions.