All this talk about declining earnings and higher interest rates, all the negativity as short positions continue to build against stocks, miss the point. It has been around 270 trading days since the stock market bottom gave its early formation…Continue Reading →
You all know I view the early books of Neil Howe and JohN Strauss, “Generations” and “The Fourth Turning” as bedrock for understanding Macro economic issues, there have been many posts on the issues involved. Neil Howe now has a…Continue Reading →
While there will be a lot of pushback, in terms of long-term direction, today’s employment report and yesterday’s GDPnow estimate for the second quarter at 2.2 percent are adding a push to stocks. This push has been almost a year…Continue Reading →
The Economic Visualization Model that I showed on Tuesday is moving in a tight range this week going into tomorrow’s employment report. Tuesday’s high was 47.48, Wednesday’s low was 46.42 and at the moment at 10:20 AM CDT we are…Continue Reading →
Within a very positive environment. As I mentioned yesterday, the Canary’s point to some short term unease. The short term movements of the dollar, 2 year rates, Real Estate ETF, and the 30-05 YC also backup that feeling. On the…Continue Reading →
For the past montb, since April 27, the Debt Ceiling conversation has dominated any conversation about the economy and by extension, the markets. While the final Ceiling votes are not in yet, the deliberations are nearing an end. During this…Continue Reading →
The speculative third of our Climate Tech model was reconfigured today with half in two ETF’s, TNA & SOXL, kind of a barbell approach with two 3X ETF’s that catch both sides of the market (Russell 2000 and Semi’s) for…Continue Reading →
The NVDA numbers backstop the bigger theme that Climate Change issues will be handled by a Technology supported grass roots programs. It will use AI at its core while the big picture is implemented locally. Climate change issues will not…Continue Reading →
I am just sitting with positions as everyone waits to see if McCarthy takes the country into default. It is probably most relevant to look at what this is all about and that is that the Republicans are desperate to…Continue Reading →
The New Economy, the Climate Tech model, keeps chugging along. GDPNOW for the second quarter estimates 2.7 % GDP, employment and wages remain strong, main obstacle remaining is McCarthy. Probably the biggest thing that will happen over the next few…Continue Reading →