The driving dynamic at the moment is an AI Frenzy. The negative dynamics at the moment are the Trump economic policies. Getting serious in this environment means that one has to acknowledge that there is no real thought by the…Continue Reading →
Yesterday I talked about the two indicators that weigh heavily on my analysis of the markets, The Monetary Multiplier and the Market Multiplier. Today we see the markets reacting to a high probability that the 2 year rate, and all…Continue Reading →
Today as the market got an inflation pass with a PPI number that it can live with, it finds itself in an atmosphere that has had its enthusiasm drained. Lets take a look at our two index indicators with which…Continue Reading →
A key chart for a change in thinking, the Gold/Bond ratio. And a second less obvious thing… The Bitcoin/Bond Ratio.
If the much-anticipated stock market bubble is to occur, it will be triggered by a Cinderella mind set on the part of the big guys. That mindset will be made public by an abandonment of Gold and Bitcoin as a…Continue Reading →
For this early stage of the Bubble we have probably seen most of the AI sector sell-off as of today. Next, Powell speaks, then digestion regardless of what he says, then more Bubble.
I will just list some key points to ponder: On a totally different topic, Monetary Driver Research… in my work on the monetary drivers for this stock market, the steep yield curves is by far the biggest driver, while gold…Continue Reading →
Climate Tech model made some adjustments in its weightings today based on environmental inputs. Allocation to climate based stocks, especially solar and battery, were increased while allocations to tech/AI areas were decreased, cut by approximately a third. In spite of…Continue Reading →
As the consumer economy stagnates and leading edge, discretionary stuff like restaurants, are already starting down, we are seeing the overall Big 2025 AI story develop cracks around the edges Of 27 AI related stocks that we have been tracking…Continue Reading →
On a relative basis there are probably better places to invest than AI at this point. The market action of yesterday and today are critical to the extension of the markets. The driving force around the bull move, AI, seems…Continue Reading →