The New Normal
Lately we have seen the outlook of consumers getting better while their income is decreasing. How does this work? Probably it is due to a better feel in home prices. In any case today’s GDP numbers point out that what the FED has done has not brought back a boom in anything other than stock prices. The result will probably be a timid bounce up in stock prices from the recent lows. The real move next, however, will be a rally in T-Bonds over the next three months. We are buying bonds today.