The short Stock position is what is important at the moment, 20 % down is the next stage, then probably 30 %. Building a short Bond position should be a look at the future and something to be inched into…Continue Reading →
Stock Market Has Topped The Stock Market Top is in place and the FED has had a chance to over react to the virus and scared investors who remain clueless. And we have had the required initial bounce in the…Continue Reading →
A Lot Of Heat We have taken a lot of heat over the last two years as to how the Macro Cycle would end. The January 2018 Fracture signal took a long time to play out. Our readership has dropped…Continue Reading →
Interest rates are under Pressure While we still are watching the 10 year rate as the key indicator as to whether the FED will capitulate and go towards negative rates, the lows of 2012 and 2016 at 1.321 %…Continue Reading →
The Big Three Don’t Matter Anymore.. Today FED Chairman Powell said that the FED is reaching limits as to what it can do, and when the next economic collapse comes around they will have to lean on Congress for more…Continue Reading →
The administration sends money to the speculators through favorable tax plays along with mind blowing deficits and the FED reduces interest rates whenever it looks like there is a problem. This is a setup for price earnings multiples that defy…Continue Reading →
The S&P triggered a macro sell signal yesterday at 3278. ie, the killing field was enacted. I would look for a little flailing around for the next couple of days as the FED does its thing and the Impeachment trial…Continue Reading →
Latest Views Here is my tweet from a few minutes ago. Kind of tongue in cheek but as all of you readers can attest to, there has not been much interest in real research as the funny farm has taken…Continue Reading →
A Classic Manipulated Market It has no fundamentals other than hope and anticipation to be at this level or to go even higher. Volume is low and declining as everyone watches the Manipulators try to unload their positions. No Reason…Continue Reading →