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The Fairyland Triplets

Here we are two days before Thanksgiving, and the three Fairyland trades are quite euphoric and maybe thankful that craziness prevails.  These three are Bit Coin, the Stock Market, and the T-Bond market.  I am only involved in being long…Continue Reading →

Posted in Analytic Fundamentals, Fed Comments | Leave a comment

The Equation is about to Change

Ever since the election the primary force of the stock market has been the 99 % hope of tax reform, it has to happen as the Republicans are in control.  A lot of people, even some Democrats and Independents view…Continue Reading →

Posted in Fed Comments, Intuitive Fundamentals, Political Talk | Leave a comment

Signals in Place

Now we are just waiting for the end of the month markups, Apple earnings, and the name of the new FED chairman on Thursday.  It is too bad that it doesn’t appear that Taylor will be named.  If Trump really…Continue Reading →

Posted in All Highlights, Fed Comments, Political Talk | Leave a comment

A Classic Macro Top

If the 17.6 year Long Economic Cycle and the 72 year Super Cycle are on target, the month ending now, October 2017 will be a not to forget time. Our two previous posts on October 6, and October 10, 2017…Continue Reading →

Posted in Big Picture | Leave a comment

Managing the Evolving Macro Economy

Macro Scenario In our previous post we outlined a macro scenario.  Here is what we see: 1) The current economic cycle is ending. 2) Two aspects that have been prominent in the last half of the current cycle are low…Continue Reading →

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The End of Current 17.6 Year Phase of the Long 72 Year Economic Cycle

We have said for some years, that October 2017 will be an important juncture in the long Cycle, the current portion which started in early 2000. We mistakenly thought that it would mark the point at which a major economic…Continue Reading →

Posted in Big Picture, Fed Comments | Leave a comment

Second Chance Day

As we said yesterday, things have been relatively quiet for the portfolio mix since Trump’s startup as President. More Volatility Finally Today we are seeing the first step to more volatility and for us this is where we add to…Continue Reading →

Posted in All Highlights | Leave a comment

Capturing Inequality

  This is so boring, the last nine months that is.   Our portfolios are in a stalemate, making money in long gold and long bonds, treading water in short oil, and losing money in short stocks.  It makes sense,…Continue Reading →

Posted in Fed Comments, Political Talk, Portfolio | Leave a comment

Fear/Deflation/Stock Market Bubble

The three major Macro influences are starting to move off center. Our Tracking Fund, EXTH, which is long bonds, long gold, short oil, and short stocks is moving close to an upside breakout point. Every time in the past 8…Continue Reading →

Posted in Analytic Fundamentals, Fed Comments | Leave a comment

Stable on top of a stack of Blocks…………..with update at 10:00 AM CST

The theme of Yellen’s Jackson Hole speech today, before the actual speech, is being described as a speech about how we have reached financial stability.  Looks that way doesn’t it, takes you back to being a kid and building with…Continue Reading →

Posted in Fed Comments, Intuitive Fundamentals | Leave a comment

That Didn’t Take Long

So much for the Donald’s “come home to Jesus Moment”.  He went back to his old ways the next day.  No doubt his high ego need is focused on how to get his poll numbers out of the 30’s and…Continue Reading →

Posted in Big Picture, Political Talk | Leave a comment

Is This the New Trump ?

I will give him a little time to prove himself.  He followed the tele-prompter well last night and was quite nervous and out of breath, not much of his basic bluster was allowed.  That is good to see in a…Continue Reading →

Posted in About Tracking Funds, Fed Comments, Political Talk | Leave a comment

Deep Disruptive Change Revisited

A Macro Revisit The beauty of looking at life and markets in a Macro sense is that you have a lot of time in-between.  You might want to start todays comments by going back to two of our posts from…Continue Reading →

Posted in Big Picture, Political Talk, The Game Plan | Leave a comment

Before Algorithms

Back before Algorithms When animal spirits reigned and trading floors flourished, the day after a full moon was the time to fade the crazies. So today We had a full moon yesterday, and who are the crazies?  While it is…Continue Reading →

Posted in Intuitive Fundamentals | Leave a comment

A Big Dirty Cloud

The Story I have been on vacation for the past few weeks and have been occasionally checking things on the iPhone. I didn’t see much happening.  Same old thing, I read the Washington Swamp was being drained, that may be…Continue Reading →

Posted in Big Picture, Political Talk | Leave a comment

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