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Goldilocks locked in a Dark Room

That’s how this market feels to us. The market would appear to be ignoring everything that is going on outside as the S&P approaches the S&P 2620 Post-Christmas Resistance area. Yield Curve It is steepening a bit going back to…Continue Reading →

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High Potential for a Sucker Day

The S&P seems to be languishing in that 2570 to 2620 trading area where the so called smart money is supposedly buying in anticipation of an upside breakout soon.  The name Smart is in this case synonymous with fat cat…Continue Reading →

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A Quiet Time

While it may seem a lot has happened since December 17th, in fact in a real sense nothing has really changed. The Stock Market went down, the stock came back up, interest rates went down, interest rates came back up,…Continue Reading →

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Hype, Hope, Complacency

HHC is viral today. Hype, Hope, and Complacency. This is a time for traders to be vigilant, be out of the market, watch for signs of cracks and then pounce. The S&P and VIX are key here with the S&P…Continue Reading →

Posted in Traderline | Leave a comment

Embrace the Turbulence

Our Formal Forecasts and Surprises for 2019 Edition will have to Wait But if you read between the lines here you will see where out thoughts and opinions are headed. It would appear from the recent pattern of hits on…Continue Reading →

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2019 Economic/Political/Market Landscape

In order to think about the 2019 Landscape, maybe a review of our 2018 Economic Surprises would be in order. So here we are: Eureka Perspectives January 12, 2018 Big Picture With all the Wall Street Guru’s putting out their…Continue Reading →

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Scenario is on Cue

The factors we outlined yesterday are in play. The Bulls are showing their long term cards in terms of their lack of patience and fear of missing a bottom. That provides short term volatility and weakens the prospect of sustaining…Continue Reading →

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Let’s Drill Down on What Could Happen Next

 Key Points on the Micro Situation.. We have not seen a Panic Blowout to the downside, yet, and.. A 38 percent upside Fibonacci Bounce to 2570 area on the S&P is possible before the blowout.. That leaves a swing point…Continue Reading →

Posted in All Highlights, Analytic Fundamentals, Intuitive Fundamentals | Leave a comment

What the Bulls Absolutely don’t Want to see Happen

And That IS.. A close below 1812 on the S&P. That is the low for September 2015 and is supposed to be, for Long Term Macro Cycle Traders, the “no touch” point for the up move that started in 2009….Continue Reading →

Posted in All Highlights, Analytic Fundamentals | Leave a comment

How Bulls Function

Current Talk The past week we have heard a lot about where the bottom in the market will occur.  That is an important factor in the “Bull” scenario, i.e. “where to buy”.  that is much more important to a Bull…Continue Reading →

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The Line in the Sand, and the Fake Signals

The Line is 2511 on the S&P.  That was the high of the S&P prior to the time when the  Trump Tax Cut Euphoria started.  The fact that the tax cut for the top 10 % brought a big increase…Continue Reading →

Posted in Big Picture, Political Talk | Leave a comment

Inflation in Context

Why no big inflation? There is a lot of lamenting the fact that we have not seen much inflation since the 2008 Crash and the FED should not be raising rates.  I would point out three things: You have to…Continue Reading →

Posted in Big Picture, Fed Comments, Political Talk | Leave a comment

A Macro Event was Signaled Yesterday

What does this mean ? There should be plenty of selling and trading opportunities as most traders and investors key off micro events.  For the S&P, runups to the 2625 area are probable, and maybe even more to the 2675…Continue Reading →

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If You wanted Confirmation, You Now Have IT

Today we have seen the first major confirmation of the Anticipated Top which was signaled on January 26, 2018. Does one sell here, that is up to you? We do believe that the first plateau on the way down will…Continue Reading →

Posted in Analytic Fundamentals | Leave a comment

A Strange Time

What are investors thinking about.. A.   We hear about big outflows from stocks, yet the market just sits here at levels that it has been playing with 7 times in the past 13 months, last November 2017, last February,…Continue Reading →

Posted in All Highlights, Intuitive Fundamentals | Leave a comment

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