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Fear/Deflation/Stock Market Bubble

The three major Macro influences are starting to move off center. Our Tracking Fund, EXTH, which is long bonds, long gold, short oil, and short stocks is moving close to an upside breakout point. Every time in the past 8…Continue Reading →

Posted in Analytic Fundamentals, Fed Comments | Leave a comment

Stable on top of a stack of Blocks…………..with update at 10:00 AM CST

The theme of Yellen’s Jackson Hole speech today, before the actual speech, is being described as a speech about how we have reached financial stability.  Looks that way doesn’t it, takes you back to being a kid and building with…Continue Reading →

Posted in Fed Comments, Intuitive Fundamentals | Leave a comment

That Didn’t Take Long

So much for the Donald’s “come home to Jesus Moment”.  He went back to his old ways the next day.  No doubt his high ego need is focused on how to get his poll numbers out of the 30’s and…Continue Reading →

Posted in Big Picture, Political Talk | Leave a comment

Is This the New Trump ?

I will give him a little time to prove himself.  He followed the tele-prompter well last night and was quite nervous and out of breath, not much of his basic bluster was allowed.  That is good to see in a…Continue Reading →

Posted in About Tracking Funds, Fed Comments, Political Talk | Leave a comment

Deep Disruptive Change Revisited

A Macro Revisit The beauty of looking at life and markets in a Macro sense is that you have a lot of time in-between.  You might want to start todays comments by going back to two of our posts from…Continue Reading →

Posted in Big Picture, Political Talk, The Game Plan | Leave a comment

Before Algorithms

Back before Algorithms When animal spirits reigned and trading floors flourished, the day after a full moon was the time to fade the crazies. So today We had a full moon yesterday, and who are the crazies?  While it is…Continue Reading →

Posted in Intuitive Fundamentals | Leave a comment

A Big Dirty Cloud

The Story I have been on vacation for the past few weeks and have been occasionally checking things on the iPhone. I didn’t see much happening.  Same old thing, I read the Washington Swamp was being drained, that may be…Continue Reading →

Posted in Big Picture, Political Talk | Leave a comment

The Compression is Nearing an END

Following up again on the May 25th post, The compression that I am speaking of in the title line here is the relative performance between the Trump portfolio, Symbol ECT, and the contrary to Trump portfolio, Symbol EXTH.  The relationship…Continue Reading →

Posted in About Tracking Funds | Leave a comment

ReRead the May 25th, 2017 Post

My thoughts have not changed since then, and the tracking portfolios reflect the same, a flat line, something is going to happen, sometime.   Here is where things stand after 6 months. The EXTH fund (no reflation portfolio) The ECT…Continue Reading →

Posted in Big Picture | Leave a comment

What is the Stock Market Waiting For?

I think it is pure and simple.  It is waiting for the so called Trump Tax Reform, ie tax cuts for the big guys.  Then they can cash in and let the rest of the country pay the bills. The…Continue Reading →

Posted in Intuitive Fundamentals | Leave a comment

Weak Demand and the FED Raising Rates

Trickle-Down Economics Movement We will continue to push forward our long held contention, a move towards Trickle-Down Economics is not positive for consumer demand and inflation. The FED Hiking Cycle What is the FED’s current approach, three points.. First, they are…Continue Reading →

Posted in Analytic Fundamentals, Fed Comments | Leave a comment

Did Trump and May Win Yesterday ?

Market players initially think so but there are some Things to ponder: Macron’s victory in France .. Corbyn’s surprise showing in Britian..no doubt some of that is that voters realize they need to try and trash Brexit, they fear getting isolated in…Continue Reading →

Posted in Intuitive Fundamentals, Political Talk, Traderline, Uncategorized | Leave a comment

Risk is not Comey, it is Supply Side Theory

All the talk is talk is about what Comey’s grilling will do to the market. Probably nothing, after all he is a Republican, tried to put down Hillary, will not step in front. The market and Trump have two bigger…Continue Reading →

Posted in Big Picture, Political Talk | Leave a comment

Trump is Good for Chaos

Need I say more?  Most of the trading population seem to be hiding behind the eight ball at this point.

Posted in Big Picture | Leave a comment

Clash at Top

A US President who gives away our leadership of the world is a wakeup call to anyone watching.  The US will pay a dear price as well as will its assets.  This is a fight between an economy that helps…Continue Reading →

Posted in Big Picture, Intuitive Fundamentals, Political Talk | Leave a comment

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